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The way to play the soccer market is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They are going to price up the sport within their own country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to generate a profit.
Italy, for example is much more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This really is very good news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed familiarity with the comings and goings in their own countries they may be relying on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting place is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There’s a tendency in punters to get patriotic with regards to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the home team get talked up as well as the odds could get skewed in their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
In spite of this the big bookmakers offer an early price, they will often advertise it in the national papers and by and large stick to it. Therefore a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take another opinion or try to tempt money within their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb may be accessible for a considerable quantity of time.
You will discover always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they can be ‘guessing’ just what the odds should be just like you and me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong as well as other firms can take a totally different view of the outcome of a game. A totally different view will only contribute to a slight variation in the odds but this will likely be adequate to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They may have quite profitable discrepancies. They are going to be covered by a number of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere idea that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you’ll be going to get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they’re going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. Having said that it’s a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You’ll need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This really is a fairly obscure place of betting and if someone was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as a variety of type of sport and events as it can be to ensure that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be a problem as numerous sports are great for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties can even produce arbs and they are less likely to attract focus on you and also the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you decide to can’t control regardless of if the individual bets win or lose but quality online soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning it’s possible to be useful on your account. The point here is that not lots of people are interested within the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he will be the teams star striker then this tends to greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the final minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the cash poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last second frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can behave as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You may find injury news through one of the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all at the exact same time, only one by one so creating sure bets.
Inside this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one that wont change the old price will be the one that is going to and so might be lost in the event that you are not quick.