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The way to play the soccer market is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the real difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is the best online soccer source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They will price up the sport within their own country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is much more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is very good news for us. The European bookmakers may be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their own countries they are relying on third parties to collate information on their own foreign counterparts.
One good beginning is in midweek games between teams of distinct nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up and also the odds could get skewed in their favour as the burden of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
On the other hand the big bookmakers offer an early price, they’re going to often advertise it within the national papers and by and large stick to it. This means a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers might take a different opinion or try and tempt money within their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb could be accessible for a considerable amount of time.
You’ll find always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they are ‘guessing’ what the odds should be much like you and me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
Also they can get it wrong as well as other firms can take a totally different view of the outcome of a game. A totally different view will only cause a slight variation in the odds but this will likely be adequate to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They may have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be covered by a number of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are going to get spotted by the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they can be going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. Alternatively it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You may need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This really is a fairly obscure area of betting and if someone was to check your account over a range of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as a variety of sort of sport and events as possible in order that your accounts have varied bets on them. This should not be an issue as a number of different sports are great for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will likely produce arbs and they are less prone to attract attention to you and also the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you can not control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning you can be useful on your account. The point here is that not lots of individuals are interested within the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This really is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he will be the teams star striker then it will considerably affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the very last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I do not know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or wouldn’t have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last second frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can behave as the punter or perhaps the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all at the exact same time, only one by one so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one that wont change the old price will be the one that is about to and so may be lost in the event you are not quick.